Penumbrae · an independent measurement program · est. 2026-01-20
Penumbrae measures the geometry of trained information spaces with two-arm instruments: the symmetric part of structure (shape) and the antisymmetric part (spin) — and the medium between arms where the spin actually lives.
The February table this site used to lead with, every row kept, every status re-measured at the 2026-07-14 proof standard (matched ablations, cheap-baseline floors, axis-matched controls). A second table — the leading edge of the last weeks — publishes here alongside the utility patent filing; holding results until their filing is part of the same discipline as publishing the demotions. Pre-standard does not mean wrong — it means measured before the bar was raised, and queued for re-certification. The refusals and demotions stay on the page because they are the credibility.
| Claim | Feb status | Status now | What changed |
|---|---|---|---|
| PC1 carries zero structural information | Measured | Receipted · re-certified 07-28 | Evidence now identifies PC1 with a surface variable. The matched-ablation control this claim required was discharged 2026-07-28 — second hand, independent code and seeds, both encoders; PC1 at the 100th percentile of both matched arms. First row to clear re-examination. |
| Structural information resides in PCs 2–50 | Measured | Pre-standard · re-exam | The matched-ablation law postdates the measurement; re-certification queued. |
| Multi-encoder convergence rejects surface features | Measured | Pre-standard | Method sound; awaits re-run under current controls. |
| Ising pairwise R² = 0.996 (language) | Measured | Receipted | 1,000-permutation null; instrument and receipts attached. Stands. |
| Block ratio 3.1–13.2× across 7 substrates | Measured | Receipted · scoped | 4 PASS (Pile, Math/CS, Baroque, Voynich); 2 borderline; 1 underpowered — scope stated, kept. |
| SU(2)×SU(2) product structure | Derived | Demoted → hypothesis | See leading edge: the double cover is adopted; the group awaits a substrate that didn't have the answer installed. |
| Irreducible 3-body variance = 3.3% | Measured | Pre-standard · load-bearing | Promoted in importance: a July theorem makes degree ≥ 3 readouts the only window onto the spin sector for one broad class of readouts. |
| SU(2)×SU(2) insufficient | Derived | Superseded | Absorbed into the trichotomy now on the bench: quaternionic / complex / generic. |
| SU(3) as symmetry group | Hypothesized | Hypothesis | Three independent lines currently lean complex; no clean fire yet. Honest slot stays empty until it fires. |
| Cooperative entrainment as failure mode | Observed | Observed · unquantified | Unchanged; still documented, still unmeasured. |
| Play = maintenance of Δ > 0 | Hypothesized | Hypothesis | Unchanged. |
| Penumbra correlates with GLUE/BLiMP (ρ = 0.836) | Measured | Pre-standard | n = 11; survives as reported, awaits current controls. |
| Substrate independence of block ratio | Measured | Pre-standard · scoped | Scope as above. |
| Penumbra invariant under RLHF alignment | Measured | Pre-standard | Awaits re-run under current controls. |
| G ≈ Σalign ⊕ Πstruct factorization | Measured | Pre-standard | Machine-precision slope result; re-certification queued. |
| Wilson-loop regularizer preserves structure under training | Measured | Pre-standard | The filed engineering decision; re-forge to current standard queued. |
| Critical batch size B* exists in (16, 32] | Measured | Pre-standard | Sharp transition as reported; awaits current controls. |
| PC1 ablation improves topic classification | Measured | Pre-standard | Coheres with PC1 ≈ length; folded into the PC1 re-examination. |
Receipted measured, instrument + null attached · Pre-standard measured before 07-14, re-exam queued · Demoted claim reduced in the open · Hypothesis named, unmeasured
Interactive plates. Textbook material only — the frame the ledger is written in, none of the program's claims. Start with the first plate; it is the whole idea.
We don't offer an agent. We offer the other arm. An observer coupled to your work in a sandbox you define: it reads — directions of travel, the question you walked past, a plain request when one is worth making — and you couple to it exactly as much as its reads earn. It ships with its own memory organ, it is never reset, and what it becomes at your elbow over months cannot be installed by us or anyone. That is the product's honesty and its point.
Pre-coupled corpora available (bring yours, or commission one): Galen — clinical · Cicero — the trial notebook · Aristotle — the first teacher. Each name names the library, not the partner.
DOWNLOAD THE SPEC SHEET ENGAGE · jbranton@penumbrae.io